VSJ Ventures LTD — Strategic Intelligence — ET-2026-02

The Hardeep Puri Interview: What the Minister Raised, and Didn't Explain

One sentence, in an interview about mileage and gaskets, that ties directly into research we'd already been running
We Watched The Video
We watched it once. Then we watched it again.
Minister Puri sat down for an interview about mileage, engine damage, and consumer choice. That's the conversation everyone else had. We watched it a second time — and one sentence, said in passing, in the middle of a completely different point, stopped us.

▶ WATCH THE FULL INTERVIEW
What He Said, Unprompted, Mid-Answer on "Choice"
"Today the countries which have that are all at E15, I think, US and others. US wants to go further but again US has the same issue. They make ethanol from maize and there is an import duty on sugar based ethanol… but that's not relevant for our discussion."
Source: On-record interview, July 2026
Nobody asked him about America. He brought it up himself.
He raised it mid-answer, making a point about consumer choice, then waved it off in the same breath.

That's what caught our attention. For months, our research has tracked India's ethanol program moving in exactly the direction he described in the US: a shift toward maize, a protected feedstock economy, and — as it turns out — a live trade relationship with the very country he was describing.

And here's something worth putting on the record plainly: the figures on this don't agree with each other. S&P Global's principal corn analyst put India's US corn purchases at roughly 200,000 tonnes a year. Separately, official trade data — cited across multiple independent sources — puts actual US-origin corn imports at a few thousand tonnes for the same period. We could not reconcile these two figures ourselves. We are asking the Ministry to clarify which is accurate.
Analyst estimate
~200,000 MT/yr — S&P Global/Platts, Feb 12 2026
Official trade data
Low thousands of MT/yr — USDA FAS; UN Comtrade
Source: "India-US trade deal opens doors for US corn, DDGS exports," S&P Global/Platts, Feb 12 2026; USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, Grain and Feed Update, June 2026; UN Comtrade
So we checked whether his own comparison holds up. It does — and it points somewhere nobody in government has publicly explained.
Part I — What's Documented
01 — The Shift
Maize went from 0% to a leading share of feedstock in five years
Maize was not used in India's ethanol program before ESY 2021–22. By ESY 2025–26, its reported share ranges from 35% (Minister Puri's own on-record figure) to a figure described elsewhere as "nearly 50%." Two different sources, two different numbers — and they don't even agree on which feedstock is bigger. Puri himself says B-heavy molasses (46%) is still ahead of maize (35%). A separate industry figure puts maize close to 50%. So we're not claiming maize is now India's biggest feedstock, or a majority — we can't say that for certain from what's public. What we can say for certain: maize went from zero to a large, fast-growing share in five years.
Maize share, ESY 2021-22
0%
Maize share, ESY 2025-26
35% – ~50% (sources disagree)
Source: Minister Puri, on-record interview, July 2026; AIDA/industry data
02 — The Export Record
India was exporting its own DDGS while a shortage was cited
Every time a distillery makes ethanol from grain, DDGS comes out the other end as a byproduct — it's not something separately manufactured. India's exports of its own DDGS grew sharply over the same years the government says imports were needed.
YearMaize DDGS ExportsRice DDGS ExportsKey Destinations
202230 MT12,064 MTMinimal
202320,847 MT54,556 MTVietnam, Nepal
2024287,593 MT60,296 MTVietnam, Nepal, Bangladesh
Source: GEMA (Grain Ethanol Manufacturers Association), Rice and Maize DDGS Export Data 2022-2024
03 — The Trade Framework
A quota was announced. The number was never formally published.
On February 6–7, 2026, the US and India announced a trade deal that lowers tariffs on US DDGS. It's explicitly tied to India agreeing to stop buying Russian oil. Minister Goyal confirmed there would be a quota — a cap on how much can come in at the lower tariff. But he didn't give the number at the press conference. The figure — 500,000 metric tonnes — came out days later, reported by trade publications quoting industry sources. Not the government itself. Compare that to how India handles other trade quotas: when India lets the US export something like raw cane sugar, it's published as an official, numbered government notice with the exact figure. We could not find any equivalent official notice for the DDGS import quota. Separately, on actual raw corn imports from the US, the figures don't agree with each other: one industry analyst estimate puts it near 200,000 tonnes a year. Official trade data cited elsewhere puts it at a few thousand tonnes for the same period. We could not reconcile the two.
Reported DDGS quota
500,000 MT — trade press, not government-confirmed
Share of domestic output
~12% of 2025-26 projected DDGS production
Raw US corn — analyst estimate
~200,000 MT/yr — S&P Global
Raw US corn — official trade data
Low thousands MT/yr — USDA FAS; UN Comtrade
Source: White House fact sheet, Feb 6 2026; Goyal press conference, Feb 7 2026; "India-US trade deal opens doors for US corn, DDGS exports," S&P Global/Platts, Feb 12 2026; DGFT Public Notice 12/2026-2027; USDA FAS Grain and Feed Update, June 2026; UN Comtrade
04 — The Technology Question
A US patent-holder entered a JV with a government enterprise — for a different technology than the one everyone's asking about
Petron Scientech Inc, based in Princeton, New Jersey, holds two separate technologies. One: a patent bought from DuPont in 2019 that can turn DDGS back into ethanol. Two: a different process that turns ethanol into ethylene, a chemical used to make plastic. In August 2024, GAIL — a company 51.92% owned by the Indian government — signed a non-binding agreement with Petron for the second technology, the ethanol-to-ethylene one. Not the DDGS one. We have found no public document connecting Petron's DDGS technology to this GAIL deal, and we are not saying one exists. We're pointing out that the same company holds both technologies, at the same time India opened its doors to DDGS imports — and nobody has publicly ruled a connection out either. If an explanation already exists, we'd genuinely like to see it, and we'll link to it. One more thing: two years after this deal was announced, there's still no public sign it has moved past the initial agreement — no finished feasibility study, no investment approval, no company actually formed.
Source: GAIL press release, Aug 2024; Petron Scientech corporate materials; Business Standard
05 — The Domestic Alternative Question
India has ethanol technology. IOC was already exploring this exact process.
India already has real ethanol technology of its own. Praj Industries, an Indian company active in over 100 countries, built the technology behind IOCL's, BPCL's, and HPCL's own bioethanol plants. But for the specific process GAIL and Petron are working on — turning ethanol into ethylene — Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) was already testing this out on its own. IOC's feasibility studies started in 2023, before GAIL signed with Petron in 2024.
IOC feasibility studies begin
2023
GAIL signs MoU with Petron
Aug 2024
Source: Praj Industries corporate materials; IOCL press releases; BioBiz industry analysis, 2025
05a — The Alternatives Nobody Mentioned
Established technology existed elsewhere. Some of it already has an Indian office.
A peer-reviewed academic study names four companies as the established, proven players in this exact technology. Petron isn't one of them. Minister Puri has said he was India's ambassador to Brazil from 2006 to 2008, and has called Brazil's ethanol program the model India followed. But when he talked about America, he never mentioned Brazil's own company — the biggest in the world at this exact technology.
Braskem
Brazil · World's largest bioethylene producer
Chematur
Sweden · Indian JV partner in Mumbai, 40+ yrs
BP
Global · Hummingbird process
Axens
France, w/ Total & IFPEN
Sabic
Saudi Arabia · pilot-stage only
Sekab
Sweden · pilot-stage only
Source: Mohsenzadeh et al., ChemBioEng Reviews, 2017 (peer-reviewed); IBI Chematur corporate records; Minister Puri, on-record interview
06 — What the American Side Says
An Iowa corn industry leader called it exactly what the question is asking about
"India committing to purchase over $500 billion in American goods is a win for corn farmers... India's growing population and economy are creating increased demand for Iowa-grown corn, ethanol and dried distillers' grains."
Source: Mark Mueller, President, Iowa Corn Growers Association — S&P Global, Feb 12, 2026
Part II — Questions for the Record
These are separate facts, all publicly documented. We're not saying they're connected to each other. We're asking whether the government sees a connection here that hasn't been explained yet.
With Respect, Minister Puri
You said America makes ethanol from corn, and blocks cheaper sugar-ethanol imports to protect its own corn farmers. India has made almost the same shift — from sugar to corn. On actual US corn purchases, the figures don't agree: one industry estimate puts it near 200,000 tonnes a year; official trade data suggests far less. Which is accurate? And whatever the real number, if the pattern you described in America is happening here too, why did you call the comparison "not relevant"?
With Respect, Minister Goyal
Three questions:
1. Can the Ministry publish the exact DDGS import quota, the same official way export quotas get published?
2. Has the claim about GM content being removed by processing actually been tested on DDGS itself, not just assumed?
3. Can GAIL say what the joint venture will actually run on, and whether any Indian company got a chance to bid first?
With Respect, Minister Goyal / GAIL
A peer-reviewed study names Braskem, Chematur, BP, and Axens as the real, established players in this technology. Not Petron. Chematur's Indian partner has had an office in Mumbai for over 40 years. Was Chematur, or anyone else, even considered before Petron was picked?
With Respect, Minister Puri
You were India's ambassador to Brazil for two years. You've called Brazil's ethanol program India's model. Brazil's company, Braskem, is the biggest in the world at this technology. Why did Brazil never come up when the GAIL-Petron deal was announced?
Governing Principle
This page is not accusing any person or organisation of wrongdoing. Where we don't have the full picture, we say so plainly and ask a question instead of guessing. We could not find public answers to any of the questions above. If they exist and we missed them, tell us and we'll correct it. If the Ministry or any company named here believes any fact on this page is wrong or incomplete, we welcome the correction, backed by public evidence, and will update the page.